Australia
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A new report by two University of Melbourne researchers paints a challenging picture for Australia's agricultural sector and the impacts of climate change in the decades to come.
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While there is a growing consensus on the causes and likelihood of climate change, there is uncertainty about the impacts across the agricultural sector. Given that predictions are for a hotter, drier South and wetter North, the impacts will likely be complex, and vary by commodity and region.
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While it has been clear for many years that climate change is a major factor in intensifying heat, recent scientific advances now allow us to understand the extent of the impact on individual extreme events. Climate change has significantly worsened recent extreme heat events in Australia.
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The Australian climate is already changing and these changes have a measurable impact on
primary production, as the drying of the Murray–Darling Basin and parts of the wheatbelt bear
witness.
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Global warming is occurring at a rate that will clearly affect biological systems in Australia. The severity of the 2002 drought has been clearly linked to climate change and has led to a forecasted 21% decline in the gross value of farm production for 2002-03. The worst drought on record, it may be considered an insight into future droughts as El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) events intensify with global warming.
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Impacts on Australian agriculture of projected climate change are likely to be spatially and temporally diverse, with many regions likely to experience increased downside risk in agricultural production. Some regions, such as south-west Australia, are projected to be particularly at risk of adverse outcomes associated with climate change.
Impacts
FAO. (1997). Some effects of global warming on agriculture. Retrieved from http://www.fao.org/News/FACTFILE/FF9721-E.HTM
Western Australia
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Climate change, and its associated variability, is posing a challenge for farm businesses in Western Australia. The grainbelt has experienced a 20% decline in rainfall over the last several decades, more than any other wheat-growing region in Australia.
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We aim to create a progressive, innovative and profitable agriculture and food sector that benefits Western Australia. We support the success of our state’s agrifood businesses through services and partnerships that help increase industry profitability and sustainability, while safeguarding our state’s precious natural resources.
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A warming climate is expected to strike Margaret River’s renowned chardonnays while its cabernet sauvignons are tipped to flourish, according to new research.
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Farmnote, number 415, provides an overview of how the climate is changing and how this is likely to affect agriculture in WA regions.